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Natural disasters

Japan's megaquake alert ends amid no major new seismic activity

Weeklong advisory has been lifted, but government urges public to remain vigilant

A barrier blocks access to a beach on Aug. 14 due to the Nankai Trough megaquake advisory. The alert impacted some tourism-related businesses during the summer holiday season. (Photo by Yo Inoue)

TOKYO (Kyodo) -- A weeklong government call for increased preparedness based on an advisory over a potential megaquake along the Pacific coast officially ended 5 p.m. Thursday, after no new major seismic activity was confirmed around the Nankai Trough.

The Nankai Trough megaquake advisory, the first since the system was implemented in 2017, prompted the central government and local communities to intensify disaster preparations over the past week. It also negatively impacted some tourism-related businesses during the summer holiday season.

Japan, a quake-prone nation, has long feared a quake of magnitude 8 to 9 along the Nankai Trough within the next 30 years, with predictions that a wide area could be jolted and vast coastal regions engulfed by massive tsunami.

The megaquake advisory was issued just hours after a magnitude-7.1 quake rocked southwestern Japan on Aug. 8, with its focus located in waters off Miyazaki prefecture, on the western edge of the Nankai Trough.

The advisory is intended to inform the public of the higher-than-usual risk of a large-scale quake around the Nankai Trough for a week. The government is urging the public to remain vigilant and prepared, as the possibility of a major temblor has not been eliminated.

The Nankai Trough is an ocean-floor trench that runs along Japan's Pacific coast where the Eurasian and Philippine Sea tectonic plates meet.

The Japan Meteorological Agency stated that as of Wednesday, it had detected no seismic activity indicating any concerning changes in the presumed area where the megaquake could originate.

According to the Cabinet Office, the advisory has been applied to 707 municipalities across 29 prefectures where strong shaking and large tsunami are expected in the event of a major quake.

The government estimates that, in a worst-case scenario, a megaquake in the Nankai Trough could result in over 200 trillion yen ($1.36 trillion) in damage.

A magnitude-9 earthquake with an epicenter near land would increase the damage due to the collapse of housing and infrastructure, as well as reducing business activity.

Kuroshio in Kochi prefecture, western Japan, where a 34-meter tsunami is expected in the event of a megaquake, responded to the advisory by establishing a disaster response headquarters and increasing the number of disaster response staff.

According to the prefecture, over 100 evacuation centers have been established, with up to 63 people having sought refuge.

Some beaches in western and southwestern Japan that were closed for swimming following last week's quake have reopened.

History shows that a major earthquake around the Nankai Trough occurs every 100 to 150 years. About 80 years have passed since the most recent.

The quake that devastated northeastern Japan on March 11, 2011, triggered massive tsunami and led to the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant disaster. It registered at magnitude 9.0, the strongest earthquake ever recorded in Japan.

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